Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chas Skelly won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chas Skelly wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Chas Skelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Striegl has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mark Striegl (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chas Skelly
Red Corner
VS
Mark Striegl
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chas Skelly
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Maximo Blanco · Sep 16W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Feb 17L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19Mark Striegl
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chas SkellyMetricMark Striegl
2.01
Strikes / min
1.40
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
49%
Strike defense
40%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.00
39%
Takedown defense
66%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.20Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-2.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chas SkellyMark Striegl
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chas Skelly(10 fights)Mark Striegl(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.5-56.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+399.0-399.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Chas Skelly
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Mark Striegl
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2