Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Hernandez won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2025·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(77.2%)
Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Alexander Hernandez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chase Hooper has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Alexander Hernandez has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chase Hooper
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Hernandez
Blue Corner
-375
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
26
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase Hooper
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Nov 23W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 24W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24W
vs Jim Miller · Apr 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26Alexander HernandezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bill Algeo · Oct 23L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricAlexander Hernandez
4.50
Strikes / min
4.23
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
39%
Strike defense
59%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
1.05
55%
Takedown defense
68%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chase HooperAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.2-46.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Chase Hooper
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17