Featherweight
3 Rounds
Steve Garcia won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 29, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChase Hooper: WrestlervsSteve Garcia: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Steve Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steve Garcia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Steve Garcia is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Chase Hooper has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Steve Garcia has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Steve Garcia has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chase Hooper
Red Corner
VS
Steve Garcia
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
26
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase HooperL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 24W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24W
vs Jim Miller · Apr 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26Steve GarciaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 23W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Jul 25W
KOvs David Onama · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricSteve Garcia
4.50
Strikes / min
5.39
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.12
39%
Strike defense
59%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
0.86
55%
Takedown defense
88%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap+3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chase HooperSteve Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Steve Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.4-29.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Chase Hooper
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Steve Garcia
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10