Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Chase Sherman won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, May 13, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupChase Sherman: Pressure fightervsIke Villanueva: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Chase Sherman wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Chase Sherman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ike Villanueva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chase Sherman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ike Villanueva has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chase Sherman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chase Sherman
Red Corner
VS
Ike Villanueva
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23Ike VillanuevaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20W
KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21L
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Jun 21L
KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase ShermanMetricIke Villanueva
6.04
Strikes / min
3.66
6.65
Strikes absorbed / min
7.24
52%
Strike defense
36%
0.09
TDs / 15 min
0.60
74%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.61Δ 2.97 — meaningful gap-3.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chase ShermanIke Villanueva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Sherman(10 fights)Ike Villanueva(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-38.238.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-46.846.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Chase Sherman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Ike Villanueva
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6