Welterweight
3 Rounds
Che Mills won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Che Mills wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Che Mills wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Che Mills is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Duane Ludwig has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Duane Ludwig has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Che Mills has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Che Mills
Red Corner
VS
Duane Ludwig
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
43
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Che Mills
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Cope · Nov 11L
KOvs Rory MacDonald · Apr 12Duane LudwigL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 10W
vs Nick Osipczak · Nov 10W
vs Amir Sadollah · Aug 11L
SUBvs Josh Neer · Jan 12L
KOvs Dan Hardy · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Che MillsMetricDuane Ludwig
2.08
Strikes / min
4.62
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
43%
Strike defense
57%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.43
58%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.79Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Che MillsDuane Ludwig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Che Mills(3 fights)Duane Ludwig(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.1-23.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Che Mills
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3
Duane Ludwig
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6