Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Leal won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupChidi Njokuani: StrikervsCarlos Leal: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Carlos Leal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chidi Njokuani is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Carlos Leal has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Leal has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chidi Njokuani has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chidi Njokuani
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Leal
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chidi Njokuani
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 23W
vs Rhys McKee · Mar 24W
vs Jared Gooden · Oct 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 25Carlos Leal
oldest →latest
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Oct 24W
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 25L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chidi NjokuaniMetricCarlos Leal
5.16
Strikes / min
8.75
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
7.78
57%
Strike defense
48%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.43
75%
Takedown defense
90%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.84evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chidi NjokuaniCarlos Leal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chidi Njokuani(10 fights)Carlos Leal(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.3-30.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Chidi Njokuani
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights10
Carlos Leal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4