Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Joe Soto won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupChris Beal: Well-roundedvsJoe Soto: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Chris Beal wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Joe Soto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Beal is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Joe Soto has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Joe Soto threatens submissions; Chris Beal has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Chris Beal has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Beal
Red Corner
VS
Joe Soto
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris BealL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Williams · Apr 14W
vs Tateki Matsuda · Sep 14L
vs Neil Seery · Jan 15L
vs Chris Kelades · Aug 15Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jan 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16W
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris BealMetricJoe Soto
3.45
Strikes / min
3.36
3.18
Strikes absorbed / min
5.37
61%
Strike defense
67%
1.60
TDs / 15 min
0.85
78%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris BealJoe Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Beal(5 fights)Joe Soto(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.0-41.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+132.0-132.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Chris Beal
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5
Joe Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8