Middleweight
3 Rounds
Francis Carmont won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 29, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Camozzi wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Francis Carmont wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Camozzi
Red Corner
VS
Francis Carmont
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16W
vs Vitor Miranda · May 16L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Apr 13W
vs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
vs CB Dollaway · May 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CamozziMetricFrancis Carmont
3.57
Strikes / min
2.22
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
1.64
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.79
57%
Takedown defense
73%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CamozziFrancis Carmont
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Francis Carmont(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.6-17.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.247.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Chris Camozzi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19
Francis Carmont
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9