Middleweight
3 Rounds
Lorenz Larkin won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, November 6, 2013·Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Camozzi: Elusive strikervsLorenz Larkin: Elusive striker
Two technical strikers — likely goes the distance with a close decision.
Model Prediction: Chris Camozzi wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Lorenz Larkin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lorenz Larkin has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Camozzi
Red Corner
VS
Lorenz Larkin
Blue Corner
+375
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joe Riggs · Feb 16W
vs Vitor Miranda · May 16L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CamozziMetricLorenz Larkin
3.57
Strikes / min
3.53
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.74
56%
Strike defense
63%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.27
57%
Takedown defense
79%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CamozziLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.6-60.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chris Camozzi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19
Lorenz Larkin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10