Flyweight
3 Rounds
Chris Cariaso won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Cariaso: Well-roundedvsDanny Martinez: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Chris Cariaso wins(71.8%)
Actual result: Chris Cariaso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Cariaso has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Cariaso
Red Corner
VS
Danny Martinez
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
44
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CariasoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Iliarde Santos · Oct 13W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Sep 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 15Danny Martinez
oldest →latest
L
vs Scott Jorgensen · Jun 14L
vs Sirwan Kakai · Jun 15W
vs Richie Vaculik · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CariasoMetricDanny Martinez
3.35
Strikes / min
2.73
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
61%
Strike defense
63%
1.11
TDs / 15 min
3.00
57%
Takedown defense
36%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CariasoDanny Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Cariaso(10 fights)Danny Martinez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.9-23.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.047.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13
Danny Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4