Flyweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Pettis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2015·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Cariaso: Well-roundedvsSergio Pettis: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Chris Cariaso wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Sergio Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
- Sergio Pettis has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Cariaso
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Pettis
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
44
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CariasoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Iliarde Santos · Oct 13W
vs Danny Martinez · Feb 14W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Sep 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CariasoMetricSergio Pettis
3.35
Strikes / min
3.88
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
61%
Strike defense
65%
1.11
TDs / 15 min
0.85
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CariasoSergio Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Cariaso(10 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.1-11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14