Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Chris Cariaso won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2011·Birmingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupChris Cariaso: Well-roundedvsVaughan Lee: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Vaughan Lee wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Chris Cariaso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vaughan Lee has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Cariaso
Red Corner
VS
Vaughan Lee
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
44
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CariasoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Danny Martinez · Feb 14W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Sep 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 15Vaughan LeeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Motonobu Tezuka · Feb 13L
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Jun 13W
vs Nam Phan · Mar 14L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CariasoMetricVaughan Lee
3.35
Strikes / min
3.47
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
61%
Strike defense
70%
1.11
TDs / 15 min
0.81
57%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12evenly matched on net striking+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CariasoVaughan Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Cariaso(10 fights)Vaughan Lee(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13
Vaughan Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8