Welterweight
3 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 21, 2013·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Stephen Thompson wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stephen Thompson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chris Clements has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stephen Thompson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stephen Thompson has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stephen Thompson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Clements
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-430
(81%)
50
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Clements
oldest →latest
W
vs Keith Wisniewski · Apr 12W
KOvs Vik Grujic · Nov 14L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 15Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris ClementsMetricStephen Thompson
3.20
Strikes / min
4.05
2.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
44%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.23
32%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.83evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris ClementsStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Clements(4 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+399.0-399.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Chris Clements
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21