Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Curtis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsJoaquin Buckley: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(61.8%)
Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Curtis
Red Corner
VS
Joaquin Buckley
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Joaquin Buckley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Mar 24W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricJoaquin Buckley
5.52
Strikes / min
3.62
5.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.43
64%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CurtisJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.8-7.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Joaquin Buckley
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16