Middleweight
3 Rounds
Kelvin Gastelum won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2023·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsKelvin Gastelum: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
- Chris Curtis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Curtis
Red Corner
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 21L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricKelvin Gastelum
5.52
Strikes / min
3.65
5.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
54%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.04
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CurtisKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-476.0476.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24