Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Curtis won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2024·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Chris Curtis
Red Corner
VS
Marc-Andre Barriault
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25L
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricMarc-Andre Barriault
5.52
Strikes / min
5.65
5.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
54%
Strike defense
49%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.34
64%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CurtisMarc-Andre Barriault
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.0-14.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Marc-Andre Barriault
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17