Welterweight
3 Rounds
Myktybek Orolbai won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsMyktybek Orolbai: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Myktybek Orolbai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Curtis
Red Corner
VS
Myktybek Orolbai
Blue Corner
+370
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-480
(83%)
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25Myktybek OrolbaiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Uros Medic · Nov 23W
vs Elves Brener · May 24L
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 24W
SUBvs Tofiq Musayev · Jun 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricMyktybek Orolbai
5.52
Strikes / min
2.78
5.75
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
8.77
64%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Myktybek Orolbai(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Myktybek Orolbai
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6