Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Curtis: Pressure fightervsRoman Kopylov: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Curtis wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Kopylov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Curtis
Red Corner
VS
Roman Kopylov
Blue Corner
+198
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Fremd · Sep 23L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricRoman Kopylov
5.52
Strikes / min
4.54
5.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.12
64%
Takedown defense
88%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris CurtisRoman Kopylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.3-4.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11