Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Chris Daukaus won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupChris Daukaus: Pressure fightervsRodrigo Nascimento: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Chris Daukaus wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Chris Daukaus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rodrigo Nascimento has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Rodrigo Nascimento has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Daukaus
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Nascimento
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris DaukausL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Ilir Latifi · May 23W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris DaukausMetricRodrigo Nascimento
6.05
Strikes / min
3.71
4.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.02
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris DaukausRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Daukaus(8 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
Chris Daukaus
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8