Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Adam Milstead won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris de la Rocha: WrestlervsAdam Milstead: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Chris de la Rocha wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Adam Milstead wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris de la Rocha is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Adam Milstead has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Adam Milstead is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris de la Rocha has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Adam Milstead has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Chris de la Rocha has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris de la Rocha
Red Corner
VS
Adam Milstead
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-290
(74%)
47
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris de la Rocha
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Omielanczuk · Jul 15W
KOvs Rashad Coulter · Jun 18L
KOvs Juan Adams · Dec 18Adam MilsteadL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jordan Johnson · Mar 18L
KOvs Mike Rodriguez · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris de la RochaMetricAdam Milstead
4.08
Strikes / min
3.85
6.37
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
43%
Strike defense
43%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
64%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.29Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris de la RochaAdam Milstead
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris de la Rocha(4 fights)Adam Milstead(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Chris de la Rocha
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights4
Adam Milstead
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3