Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Hernandez won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 31, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Gruetzemacher: Pressure fightervsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Gruetzemacher wins(65.6%)
Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Alexander Hernandez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Gruetzemacher
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Hernandez
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-435
(81%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Gruetzemacher
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Feb 17L
SUBvs Davi Ramos · Dec 17W
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Apr 18W
vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 21L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Dec 21Alexander HernandezW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris GruetzemacherMetricAlexander Hernandez
6.18
Strikes / min
4.23
4.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
52%
Strike defense
59%
0.21
TDs / 15 min
1.05
65%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris GruetzemacherAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Gruetzemacher(7 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.932.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+767.0-767.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.0-3.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Chris Gruetzemacher
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17