Lightweight
3 Rounds
Chris Gruetzemacher won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 31, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Gruetzemacher: Pressure fightervsRafa Garcia: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Chris Gruetzemacher wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Chris Gruetzemacher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Chris Gruetzemacher
Red Corner
VS
Rafa Garcia
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris GruetzemacherL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Feb 17L
SUBvs Davi Ramos · Dec 17W
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Apr 18L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 20L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Dec 21Rafa GarciaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Maheshate · Dec 22W
vs Clay Guida · Apr 23L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Oct 24W
vs Vinc Pichel · Mar 25W
KOvs Jared Gordon · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris GruetzemacherMetricRafa Garcia
6.18
Strikes / min
4.28
4.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.42
52%
Strike defense
61%
0.21
TDs / 15 min
3.22
65%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris GruetzemacherRafa Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Gruetzemacher(7 fights)Rafa Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.5-3.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Chris Gruetzemacher
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7
Rafa Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10