Flyweight
3 Rounds
Chris Kelades won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, August 23, 2015·Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Chris Kelades wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Chris Kelades wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Beal has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Beal has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Kelades
Red Corner
VS
Chris Beal
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
45
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris KeladesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Paddy Holohan · Oct 14L
SUBvs Ray Borg · Feb 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Apr 16Chris BealL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Williams · Apr 14W
vs Tateki Matsuda · Sep 14L
vs Neil Seery · Jan 15L
SUBvs Joe Soto · Jun 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris KeladesMetricChris Beal
2.40
Strikes / min
3.45
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.18
48%
Strike defense
61%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
1.60
53%
Takedown defense
78%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris KeladesChris Beal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Kelades(4 fights)Chris Beal(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.813.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chris Kelades
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Chris Beal
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5