Middleweight
3 Rounds
Andrew Craig won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Leben wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Andrew Craig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Leben enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrew Craig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrew Craig has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Leben (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Leben
Red Corner
VS
Andrew Craig
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
45
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris LebenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Stann · Jan 11W
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Jul 11L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11L
vs Derek Brunson · Dec 12L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 13Andrew CraigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Jul 12L
vs Ronny Markes · Jan 13L
SUBvs Luke Barnatt · Oct 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Jun 14L
KOvs Lyman Good · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris LebenMetricAndrew Craig
2.87
Strikes / min
2.39
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
0.53
53%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris LebenAndrew Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Leben(8 fights)Andrew Craig(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.822.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chris Leben
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Andrew Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7