Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Leben enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Leben is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chris Leben has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derek Brunson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Leben
Red Corner
VS
Derek Brunson
Blue Corner
-144
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+134
(43%)
45
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris LebenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Stann · Jan 11W
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Jul 11L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11L
vs Andrew Craig · Jul 13L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 13Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris LebenMetricDerek Brunson
2.87
Strikes / min
3.51
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.14
TDs / 15 min
3.14
53%
Takedown defense
85%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris LebenDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Leben(8 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.8-16.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.248.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Chris Leben
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21