Lightweight
3 Rounds
Draw · Decision R3
Elo1549
Elo1526
Chris PadillavsMarQuel MederosUFC Prediction Result
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Official fight result
Draw
Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Style matchup
Scouting Report
- Chris Padilla enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- MarQuel Mederos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Chris Padilla has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Padilla
MarQuel Mederos
—
Vegas Odds
—
1549
1526
30
29
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'9"
5'10"
187.96 cm
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Chris Padilla
oldest →
SUBvs James Llontop · Apr 24
KOvs Rongzhu · Sep 24
vs Jai Herbert · Mar 25
KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Nov 25
latestMarQuel Mederos
oldest →
vs Landon Quinones · Feb 24
vs Austin Hubbard · Mar 25
vs Mark Choinski · Jun 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Chris PadillaMetricMarQuel Mederos
6.19
Strikes / min
5.46
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.13
TDs / 15 min
0.23
80%
Takedown defense
82%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaMarQuel Mederos
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
EVEN
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Chris Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
MarQuel Mederos
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3