Lightweight
3 Rounds
Chris Wade won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 30, 2014·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Wade wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Chris Wade wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Wade threatens submissions; Cain Carrizosa has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Chris Wade has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cain Carrizosa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Wade
Red Corner
VS
Cain Carrizosa
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Wade
oldest →latest
W
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 15W
SUBvs Mehdi Baghdad · Jan 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · May 16L
vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 16W
vs Frankie Perez · Jul 17Cain Carrizosa
oldest →latest
L
vs Leonardo Mafra · Mar 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WadeMetricCain Carrizosa
1.70
Strikes / min
2.72
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.80
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
14%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05Δ 3.03 — meaningful gap-3.08
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Wade(7 fights)Cain Carrizosa(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Chris Wade
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Cain Carrizosa
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2