Lightweight
3 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2016·Hidalgo, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Wade: WrestlervsIslam Makhachev: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Islam Makhachev has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Islam Makhachev has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Wade
Red Corner
VS
Islam Makhachev
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Wade
oldest →latest
W
vs Zhang Lipeng · Jan 15W
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 15W
SUBvs Mehdi Baghdad · Jan 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · May 16W
vs Frankie Perez · Jul 17Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WadeMetricIslam Makhachev
1.70
Strikes / min
2.45
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
1.45
51%
Strike defense
61%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
3.10
55%
Takedown defense
91%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris WadeIslam Makhachev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Wade(7 fights)Islam Makhachev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.7-48.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-218.0218.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chris Wade
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18