Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jacare Souza won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsJacare Souza: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jacare Souza wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Jacare Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jacare Souza has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Weidman has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chris Weidman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Weidman
Red Corner
VS
Jacare Souza
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Jacare SouzaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
vs Uriah Hall · May 20L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricJacare Souza
3.11
Strikes / min
2.53
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
51%
Strike defense
62%
3.27
TDs / 15 min
2.57
72%
Takedown defense
57%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris WeidmanJacare Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Jacare Souza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.5-19.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+294.0-294.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20
Jacare Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17