Middleweight
5 Rounds
Chris Weidman won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2017·Uniondale, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsKelvin Gastelum: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Chris Weidman wins(63.6%)
Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
- Chris Weidman has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chris Weidman
Red Corner
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'9"
198.12 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricKelvin Gastelum
3.11
Strikes / min
3.65
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
51%
Strike defense
57%
3.27
TDs / 15 min
1.04
72%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris WeidmanKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.510.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24