Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Luke Rockhold won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChris Weidman: WrestlervsLuke Rockhold: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Luke Rockhold wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Luke Rockhold wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chris Weidman
Red Corner
VS
Luke Rockhold
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricLuke Rockhold
3.11
Strikes / min
4.10
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
51%
Strike defense
53%
3.27
TDs / 15 min
0.70
72%
Takedown defense
65%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chris WeidmanLuke Rockhold
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Luke Rockhold(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+88.2-88.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20
Luke Rockhold
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights11