Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luke Rockhold is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricLuke Rockhold
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris WeidmanLuke Rockhold
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Luke Rockhold(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.6|Blue -63.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris WeidmanTargetLuke Rockhold
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control3:07
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Luke Rockhold edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:14
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Luke Rockhold edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:06
68Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 4Luke Rockhold edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
