Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlston Harris won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Christian Aguilera wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Carlston Harris wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Aguilera is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Carlston Harris has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Carlston Harris threatens submissions; Christian Aguilera has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Aguilera (52.9%).
- Carlston Harris has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Aguilera
Red Corner
VS
Carlston Harris
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
34
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Aguilera
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Ivy · Jun 20L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Aug 20Carlston HarrisL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Feb 22W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23W
SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24L
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian AguileraMetricCarlston Harris
2.54
Strikes / min
3.79
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
48%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.46
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.50Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian AguileraCarlston Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Aguilera(3 fights)Carlston Harris(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Christian Aguilera
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Carlston Harris
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7