Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Claudio Ribeiro has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Leroy DuncanW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26W
DECvs Jared Cannonier · Jul 26 Claudio Ribeiro
oldest →L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 23W
KOvs Joseph Holmes · May 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian Leroy DuncanMetricClaudio Ribeiro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.84Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian Leroy DuncanClaudio Ribeiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)Claudio Ribeiro(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +82.5|Blue -82.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian Leroy DuncanTargetClaudio Ribeiro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
Round 1Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:59
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:16
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
