Middleweight
3 Rounds
Christian Leroy Duncan won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupChristian Leroy Duncan: StrikervsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Christian Leroy Duncan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Dusko Todorovic has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Leroy Duncan
Red Corner
VS
Dusko Todorovic
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
30
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Leroy DuncanW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26Dusko Todorovic
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · May 22W
KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22L
KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24L
vs Zach Reese · May 25W
SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian Leroy DuncanMetricDusko Todorovic
4.43
Strikes / min
4.73
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
52%
Strike defense
48%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
1.77
63%
Takedown defense
42%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.84Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian Leroy DuncanDusko Todorovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Leroy Duncan(9 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Christian Leroy Duncan
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9
Dusko Todorovic
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10