Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gregory Rodrigues won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupChristian Leroy Duncan: StrikervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Leroy Duncan
Red Corner
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
30
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Leroy DuncanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Mar 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26Gregory RodriguesW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Feb 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian Leroy DuncanMetricGregory Rodrigues
4.43
Strikes / min
5.53
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
52%
Strike defense
50%
0.33
TDs / 15 min
1.90
63%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.84Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian Leroy DuncanGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Leroy Duncan(9 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.235.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Christian Leroy Duncan
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13