Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Mitrione won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupChristian Morecraft: WrestlervsMatt Mitrione: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Matt Mitrione wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Matt Mitrione wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Christian Morecraft has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Christian Morecraft threatens submissions; Matt Mitrione has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Matt Mitrione has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Christian Morecraft
Red Corner
VS
Matt Mitrione
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
39
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'6"
Height
6'3"
205.74 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Morecraft
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stefan Struve · Aug 10W
SUBvs Sean McCorkle · Mar 11L
KOvs Pat Barry · Jan 12Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian MorecraftMetricMatt Mitrione
2.82
Strikes / min
3.55
2.46
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
46%
Strike defense
64%
3.26
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
55%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian MorecraftMatt Mitrione
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Morecraft(4 fights)Matt Mitrione(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-38.938.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Christian Morecraft
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights4
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13