Featherweight
3 Rounds
Christian Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChristian Rodriguez: Submission grapplervsAustin Bashi: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Christian Rodriguez wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Christian Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Austin Bashi
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
28
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian RodriguezL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cameron Saaiman · Oct 23W
vs Isaac Dulgarian · Mar 24L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25L
vs Andre Fili · Aug 25Austin Bashi
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs John Yannis · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricAustin Bashi
3.85
Strikes / min
1.75
2.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.34
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
7.81
67%
Takedown defense
62%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian RodriguezAustin Bashi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(9 fights)Austin Bashi(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.7-32.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Christian Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Austin Bashi
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2