Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Christian Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChristian Rodriguez: Submission grapplervsCameron Saaiman: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Christian Rodriguez wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Christian Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Rodriguez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cameron Saaiman (53.5%).
- Christian Rodriguez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Cameron Saaiman
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
28
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Isaac Dulgarian · Mar 24L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25L
vs Andre Fili · Aug 25Cameron SaaimanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22W
vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23L
KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricCameron Saaiman
3.85
Strikes / min
5.30
2.85
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
0.89
67%
Takedown defense
47%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian RodriguezCameron Saaiman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(9 fights)Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.428.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Christian Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Cameron Saaiman
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6