Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Christian Rodriguez won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 29, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChristian Rodriguez: Submission grapplervsJoshua Weems: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joshua Weems wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Christian Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Weems has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Christian Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Weems
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
28
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Isaac Dulgarian · Mar 24L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25L
vs Andre Fili · Aug 25Joshua WeemsNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricJoshua Weems
3.85
Strikes / min
5.25
2.85
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
56%
Strike defense
61%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
4.77
67%
Takedown defense
100%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Christian RodriguezJoshua Weems
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(9 fights)Joshua Weems(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Christian Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Joshua Weems
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1