Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Ciryl Gane won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2023·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupCiryl Gane: Elusive strikervsSerghei Spivac: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Serghei Spivac has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ciryl Gane
Red Corner
VS
Serghei Spivac
Blue Corner
-192
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
36
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
205.74 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
L
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 22W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ciryl GaneMetricSerghei Spivac
5.29
Strikes / min
3.57
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
60%
Strike defense
52%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
3.82
47%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.96Δ 3.62 — meaningful gap-0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ciryl GaneSerghei Spivac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ciryl Gane(10 fights)Serghei Spivac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.6-30.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15