Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Ciryl Gane won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 3, 2022·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupCiryl Gane: Elusive strikervsTai Tuivasa: Striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ciryl Gane has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Ciryl Gane has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ciryl Gane
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'2"
205.74 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
L
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ciryl GaneMetricTai Tuivasa
5.29
Strikes / min
3.37
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
60%
Strike defense
42%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.00
47%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.96Δ 4.20 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ciryl GaneTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ciryl Gane(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17