Flyweight
3 Rounds
CJ Vergara won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 25, 2023·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupCJ Vergara: Pressure fightervsDaniel Lacerda: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: CJ Vergara wins(75.8%)
Actual result: CJ Vergara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- CJ Vergara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- CJ Vergara has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- CJ Vergara has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
CJ Vergara
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Lacerda
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
CJ VergaraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Jul 23L
vs Asu Almabayev · Mar 24L
KOvs Ramazan Temirov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Mar 25Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
CJ VergaraMetricDaniel Lacerda
5.02
Strikes / min
3.95
4.69
Strikes absorbed / min
8.28
53%
Strike defense
34%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.32
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33Δ 4.66 — meaningful gap-4.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
CJ VergaraDaniel Lacerda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
CJ Vergara(8 fights)Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.7-30.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
CJ Vergara
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8
Daniel Lacerda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5