Flyweight
3 Rounds
CJ Vergara won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2023·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupCJ Vergara: Pressure fightervsVinicius Salvador: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: CJ Vergara wins(75.6%)
Actual result: CJ Vergara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- CJ Vergara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vinicius Salvador has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Salvador (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
CJ Vergara
Red Corner
VS
Vinicius Salvador
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
CJ VergaraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 22W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Mar 23L
vs Asu Almabayev · Mar 24L
KOvs Ramazan Temirov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Mar 25Vinicius SalvadorL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Victor Altamirano · Mar 23L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
CJ VergaraMetricVinicius Salvador
5.02
Strikes / min
5.48
4.69
Strikes absorbed / min
6.50
53%
Strike defense
48%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.36
60%
Takedown defense
86%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
CJ VergaraVinicius Salvador
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
CJ Vergara(8 fights)Vinicius Salvador(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
CJ Vergara
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8
Vinicius Salvador
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3