Welterweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ebersole won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Claude Patrick wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Brian Ebersole wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claude Patrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Claude Patrick has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claude Patrick has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Claude Patrick
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ebersole
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claude PatrickW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 10W
vs James Wilks · Oct 10W
vs Daniel Roberts · Apr 11Brian Ebersole
oldest →latest
W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
vs James Head · Jul 12L
vs Rick Story · Nov 13W
vs John Howard · Sep 14L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claude PatrickMetricBrian Ebersole
1.80
Strikes / min
2.32
0.89
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
69%
Strike defense
56%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
1.70
84%
Takedown defense
61%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Claude PatrickBrian Ebersole
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claude Patrick(4 fights)Brian Ebersole(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Claude Patrick
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Brian Ebersole
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8