Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claude Patrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Claude Patrick has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claude Patrick has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claude PatrickW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 10W
vs Daniel Roberts · Apr 11 Brian Ebersole
oldest →W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claude PatrickMetricBrian Ebersole
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claude PatrickBrian Ebersole
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claude Patrick(4 fights)Brian Ebersole(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claude PatrickTargetBrian Ebersole
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brian Ebersole edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:19
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 2Claude Patrick edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:44
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:22Control
Round 3Brian Ebersole edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:22
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
