Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Claudia Gadelha won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2017·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupClaudia Gadelha: WrestlervsKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Claudia Gadelha wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Claudia Gadelha wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Claudia Gadelha
Red Corner
VS
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudia Gadelha
oldest →latest
L
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17W
vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18L
vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18W
vs Angela Hill · May 20L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 20Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudia GadelhaMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
3.31
Strikes / min
5.54
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
5.77
57%
Strike defense
56%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
0.36
58%
Takedown defense
74%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.26Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Claudia GadelhaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.515.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Claudia Gadelha
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights11
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19