Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claudio Puelles threatens submissions; Fares Ziam has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Fares Ziam has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Puelles (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudio PuellesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jordan Leavitt · Jun 21W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 21W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Apr 22L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Nov 22L
vs Joaquim Silva · Sep 25 Fares Ziam
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25L
DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudio PuellesMetricFares Ziam
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.08Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudio PuellesFares Ziam
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudio Puelles(8 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.9|Blue +37.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +252.0|Blue -252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudio PuellesTargetFares Ziam
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Claudio Puelles edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns3
Control3:21
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 2Fares Ziam edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control1:39
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:06Control
Round 3Claudio Puelles edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns3
Control2:14
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:46Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
