Lightweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Clay Guida wins(64.3%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Pettis
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricAnthony Pettis
2.63
Strikes / min
3.05
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
61%
Strike defense
54%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
0.61
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaAnthony Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.5-53.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.048.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20