Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dennis Bermudez won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 26, 2014·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsDennis Bermudez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(50.2%)
Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dennis Bermudez has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Clay Guida has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Dennis Bermudez
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Dennis Bermudez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17L
vs Andre Fili · Jan 18L
vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18W
vs Te Edwards · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricDennis Bermudez
2.63
Strikes / min
4.42
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.07
61%
Strike defense
59%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
3.89
66%
Takedown defense
82%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaDennis Bermudez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.834.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-27.027.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Dennis Bermudez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17