Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joaquim Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2023·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsJoaquim Silva: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Clay Guida wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Joaquim Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquim Silva (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Joaquim Silva
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-325
(76%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Leonardo Santos · Dec 21L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Joaquim Silva
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Jun 21W
KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23L
vs Drakkar Klose · May 24W
vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricJoaquim Silva
2.63
Strikes / min
3.43
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
61%
Strike defense
53%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
0.34
66%
Takedown defense
70%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Joaquim Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.80.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Joaquim Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12