Lightweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(65.9%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-126
(56%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricRafael Dos Anjos
2.63
Strikes / min
3.48
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
61%
Strike defense
60%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
1.95
66%
Takedown defense
54%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+20.0-20.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32